AI-powered prediction market scanner that ingests 11+ real-time signal sources, matches breaking news to 500+ Polymarket events, and executes trades in 90-second cycles.
Every 90 seconds, PolyClaw executes a complete scan cycle — ingesting news, matching markets, calculating edge, and executing trades.
Polls 11+ real-time sources simultaneously — RSS feeds, Twitter KOLs, Reddit, ESPN, economic calendars, and on-chain signals. Classifies each item into crypto, politics, sports, economics, or geopolitics.
Bilingual NLP (English + Chinese) extracts entities, then fuzzy-matches against 500+ active Polymarket markets. Multi-signal probability aggregation with source credibility weighting and freshness decay.
Fee-adjusted edge calculation with Half-Kelly position sizing. Auto-filters lottery tickets, near-expiry, and absurd edges. Executes via Polymarket CLOB with TP/SL/trailing stop management.
Every component is designed to exploit the information lag between breaking news and market price adjustment.
5 strategies compete in parallel paper trading — baseline, aggressive, conservative, sniper, and trend follower. Compare real performance before going live.
Half-Kelly sizing, $15/order cap, $30/day loss limit, 50% AI discount on probability estimates, and auto-rejection of >40% edge signals.
English + Chinese entity extraction covers Western and Chinese crypto news (BlockBeats), catching signals that English-only tools miss entirely.
Works out of the box without a wallet. Default mode is pure paper trading — evaluate strategies safely before risking any capital.
Integrate Claude CLI for deeper signal interpretation. Use --use-llm for augmented analysis or --llm-only for full AI-driven decisions.
Complete audit trail for every signal and trade decision. Full transparency into why each order was placed or rejected.
Comprehensive coverage across crypto, finance, sports, politics, economics, weather, and on-chain data.
Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, CoinDesk, TheBlock, PANews
KOL tweet tracking via RapidAPI with key rotation
r/wallstreetbets, r/politics, r/cryptocurrency
Live scores, injury reports, and game updates
NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, EPL live betting lines
CPI, NFP, FOMC, GDP economic event calendar
Chinese-language crypto flash news
Crypto market sentiment gauge
Weather data for weather-sensitive event markets
Unusual volume spikes on Polymarket itself
5min/15min price anomaly detection
From signal detection to on-chain redemption — every phase is automated with hard safety limits.
Stale orders are auto-cleaned under three conditions:
When a market resolves, winning CTF tokens are automatically redeemed back to USDC on the Polygon chain.
7 hard filters reject bad signals before any order fires:
Paper trading works out of the box — no wallet needed. Add credentials later to go live.
| Strategy | Kelly % | Min Edge | Timeout | Max Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| baseline | 50% | 2% | 24h | 8 |
| aggressive | 75% | 1% | 24h | 12 |
| conservative | 25% | 4% | 24h | 5 |
| sniper ★ | 50% | 6% | 6h | 4 |
| trend_follower | 50% | 3% | 48h | 10 |
No server. No terminal. No setup.
One click to deploy your own PolyClaw instance in the cloud — scanning, trading, and earning 24/7.
Early access users get priority onboarding and exclusive pricing. Drop your email — we'll notify you when Cloud Lobster goes live.
PolyClaw is fully open source under the MIT license. Star, fork, and contribute on GitHub.
Questions, feedback, or collaboration ideas? Reach out through any of these channels.